Not Related To The Issue Of Legislation, But This Write Up Is Done Poorly (if I'm Reading It Correctly)

Not related to the issue of legislation, but this write up is done poorly (if I'm reading it correctly) the data was taken from a survey of a total of n=1,036 respondents, and the data related to who answered they actually moved states can be seen below. As we can see these numbers are actually very very small. I don't think you can "blow up" that data to then reflect the larger population. The headline gives an extremely large number, which is an extrapolation of data from a relatively small pool of the estimated hundreds of thousands, as the respondents (as can be seen below) who valued that choice aren't even the size of an average college class. I'd need to run more statistical analysis for how bad the skew is in moving from this sample size, but it's quite problematic at least in my research experience. The main issue comes when we break down the raw numbers, with it being only a few respondents who have actually verified indeed they have moved, while the title of the article implies we have reports indicating hundreds of thousands.

I think it is always helpful to make sure we frame headlines in ways that are truthful, a much better claim would be to see this is the number that "may have fled/will flee", as the original wording makes it sound like they actually tracked that count which doesn't seem to be the case.

Approximately 130,000 - 260,000 Americans have been forced to flee their homes because of legislation criminalizing trans existence.

open.substack.com

US Internal Refugee Crisis: 130-260k Trans People Have Already Fled

A growing refugee crisis is occurring in the United States, and it is getting very little coverage. I highlight the growing migration crisis

That’s 8% of transgender Americans. An additional 43% of transgender Americans are seriously considering moving due to laws criminalizing our existence and healthcare.

“So many people are completely helpless to get out, even with all the bumps and roadblocks, the fact is I'm still one of the lucky ones.” Said Sheena, a trans woman who fled from from Florida.

“it's evident that the United States is in the throes of a swelling crisis of internally displaced political refugees. Over a million people, themselves contemplating relocation in the coming months, remain in a state of apprehensive vigilance, awaiting the potential signal that they too must bid farewell to their homes.”

Via Erin Reed, a professional policy tracker of transgender legislation. June 13, 2023.